I expect that within the next five weeks we'll learn who the running mates are for both John McCain and Barack Obama. There have been a lot of names thrown about by pundits, but knowledgeable insiders in both campaigns have so far been remarkably tightlipped about who they're considering. …
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Running Mate Speculation
http://coldheartedtruth.com/politics/index.php/2008/07/06/running-mate-speculation?blog=10 -
John McCain/JFK Peas in a Pod (Sort Of)
http://coldheartedtruth.com/politics/index.php/2008/07/05/john-mccain-jfk-peas-in-a-pod-sort-of?blog=16Barack Obama's supporters have wished us to believe that he has much in common with earlier Presidential heroes. First they wanted us to believe he had a great deal in common with John F. Kennedy, pointing to the youth and idealism of each man. Parallels between FDR's charisma, leadership skills and fresh thinking have also been drawn. …
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House Oulook Entering Final Four Months
http://coldheartedtruth.com/politics/index.php/2008/07/05/house-oulook-entering-final-four-months?blog=12Election Day falls on November 4 this year, so today marks the beginning of the final four months of the election campaign. In the past few days Cook, Rothenberg, Sabato, and CQ have all modified their assessments of the House races this fall, and collectively they see the number of competitive or potentially competitive races increasing. …
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Gallup’s Congressional generic ballot: Democrats favored to gain House seats in November
http://ustpolisci.wordpress.com/2008/07/01/gallups-congressi...is reduced to 5 points or so, it should still guarantee a gain of anywhere between 5-10 seats or so in the House. While the generic ballot is a good predictor of House seats gained/lost, it’s not perfect. It is, in fact, a better predictor for mid-term election years than Presidential years. That being said, it has to be of real concern to both the RNC and NRCC, as well as the McCain campaign. Self-reported party ID levels, combined with a generally favorable playing field for the Democrats
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Obama Leading in Average of Electoral Projection Sites - Chart
http://freedomslighthouse.blogspot.com/2008/06/obama-leading...194 317 27 Election Projection 200 338 -- 270toWin.com 157 221 160 FiveThirtyEight 218.1 319.9 -- The Hedgehog Report 241 297 -- Coldheartedtruth 232 306 AVERAGE OF SITES 203 294 41 Here is an average of the eight most prominent Electoral Vote Projection Sites. As you see, Barack Obama continues to have a substantial lead at 294-203, with 41 votes rated as a
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US Supreme Court Strikes Down Washington DC .gun Ban
http://redux.quinews.com/2008/06/us-supreme-court-strikes-do...would take more than 30 years to recover, an assertion that Exxon executives deny (however, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration supports the Universitys estimate). Sources: wrongamerica.com www.cnsnews.com wesawthat.wordpress.com coldheartedtruth.com bulawinteractive.org wcforum.blogspot.com
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Still a long way off but...
http://physicsgeek.mu.nu/archives/267370.phpStill a long way off but... Over here at the Coldhearted Truth is a possible outcome of the EC this fall. He currently has it at 289-249, Obama over McCain. While looking at the at pickup states, I saw something that I found interesting: if Virginia and Iowa hold for the GOP, and ChT is correct about the rest,
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Obama, More Like Bush Than McCain?
http://www.ballot.com/hotwire/24752-obama-more-like-bush-tha...chosen John McCain back in 2000 then we may not be in the position we are in today. Do we really want to reject John McCain a second time in favor of another inexperienced, naive, partisan politician who's main line of political dogma is "change"? Coldheartedtruth
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Politics: Obama As Bush?
http://brucechang.blogspot.com/2008/06/politics-obama-as-bus...makes the comparison
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Electoral Vote Projection Scoreboard - Updated 6/18/08
http://blogsforjohnmccain.com/electoral-vote-projection-scor...221 317 -- Election Projection 213 325 -- 270toWin.com 184 235 119 FiveThirtyEight 204.1 333.9 -- The Hedgehog Report 199 339 -- Coldheartedtruth 253 285 As you can see, the numbers keep getting worse for John McCain. Obama is at his crest right now in terms of electoral votes. Interestingly, several polls show his slight "bounce" from Hillary leaving the race has dissipated to
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Electoral Vote Projection Scoreboard - Updated 6/18/08
http://www.blogsforjohnmccain.com/electoral-vote-projection-...221 317 -- Election Projection 213 325 -- 270toWin.com 184 235 119 FiveThirtyEight 204.1 333.9 -- The Hedgehog Report 199 339 -- Coldheartedtruth 253 285 As you can see, the number keep getting worse for John McCain. Obama is at his crest right now in terms of electoral votes. Interestingly, several polls show his slight "bounce" from Hillary leaving the race has dissipated to
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Electoral College Projection Database
http://3bluedudes.com/?p=125shifting these numbers. Today we saw Ohio (PPP), Minnesota, and North Carolina. Interestingly enough, we saw shifts over the last 7 days in electoral projection sites with Obama grabbing larger chuncks of electoral votes. Several sites, such as ColdHeartedTruth and HedgeHog Report saw shifts from McCain lead to Obama lead. We also welcome 2 new Projection Sites to the Database, the Cook Political Report and President Elect.
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Election Projection: 2008 Elections - Polls, Projections, Results
http://electionprojection.comD.C. Finegold Sachs, DC's Political Report Dave Leip, U.S. Election Atlas Larry Sabato, Crystal Ball Tom Bevan and John McIntyre, RealClearPolitics Other Prediction Websites 270ToWin.com Coldheartedtruth
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