NFL Picks Week 11 - Page 4
Falcons 3½ at RAMS
The Rams enter off an OT loss to the 49ers, and the Falcons off a win over the Ravens. The Falcons have won 3 in a row, and the Rams have a 4-game win streak at home. The Falcons are 8th in the NFL in rushing, while the Rams have the 6th best rushing defense. That may put the game in the air. The Ryan-to-White pitch-catch combo will face the Rams’ 18th rated pass defense. Benny Bagels gives us the deep background: “The Rams hasn’t lost to the Falcons at home since 1998.” Two ways to look at that - “don’t buck the streak” or “long overdue“. Thinking “overdue” and taking the Falcons to cover.
at 49ERS 3½ Bucs
These teams match up fairly evenly on paper. The 49ers again go with Troy Smith at QB to keep their unlikely comeback going. Smith has led them to victories over the Broncos and the Rams. The Bucs have 14 picks and will be eager to challenge Smith. Meanwhile, QB Josh Freeman will pilot the Bucs, 6-3 and one game back in the tough NFC South. In the running game, it‘s Frank Gore versus bad-boy Legarrett Blount, both standout backs. Vinnie the Mooch gives us some insight: “The Bucs hasn’t won at the 49ers since Reagan was president.” Then it’s about time. Taking the Bucs with the points.
at PATRIOTS 3½ Colts
Benny Bagels tells us that “The Colts has won 5 of the last 6, but Brady is 7-4 against Manning. And Brady has a 24-game home win streak.” Both QBs are playing with a banged-up team around them. The Pats enter off a big-time win over Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, following an upset at the hands of the Browns the week before. The Colts beat the Bengals last week, 23-17. Bagels says, “If the Pats that beat the Steelers shows up Sunday, they beat the Colts.” Okay. Taking the Pats to cover.
at EAGLES 2½ Giants
In case you’ve been hibernating in a cave somewhere, you might not know that Michael Vick has been asked to take over for Barack Obama in order to straighten out the mess the country finds itself in. Kidding. (But, now that it’s on the table…) Vick did, however, launch himself into the record books with an awesome 59-28 performance last Monday night against the Redskins. And the Giants, meanwhile, who, by the way, have the number one defense in the league, got sucker-punched 33-20 by the sleeping Cowboys, who suddenly woke up. Philly beat NYG both times last year, and twice the year before. How’s your math? That’s 4 straight. This year may be no different. Bobby-Big-Fingers says, “Manning to Nicks is a potent combo, but Manning has to watch out - the Eagles has 16 picks, best in the league. And the Giants‘ offensive line is hurtin‘ - look for the Eagles to blitz all day. The Eagles has a huge advantage in turnovers, and that‘ll make the difference in this game.” Taking the Eagles with Vick-the-Quick to cover.