NFL Picks Week 9 - Page 4
NY Giants (-5.5) at Seattle
Bobby-Big-Fingers points out that “The Seahawks is 3-0 against the spread at home and 2-0 as home dog.” But Seattle comes into this one after getting pounded 33-3 by the Raiders, while the Giants enter rested off a bye. The stats are mixed in this game, with a slight advantage going to NY. The Giants control the ball on average about 5 minutes more per game, and Manning may have a big day, as Seattle’s pass defense ranks 29th in the NFL. On the other hand, Seattle has the edge in turnovers, +2 to -5, and a huge plus in playing before the noisy home crowd at Qwest Field. “But here’s the key,” says Fingers, “the Giants’ defense has 24 sacks on the year while the Seahawks’ front line has conveniently allowed 22.” Taking NY to pass big, to blitz big, and to cover.
Indianapolis at Philadelphia (-3)
Looks like Michael Vick will get the start for Philly, who come to this off a bye. Meanwhile, despite mounting injuries to key players, the Colts have won three in a row against some good teams, and enter here off a win versus the Texans. In addition to Vick, the Eagles get WR DeSean Jackson back this Sunday. Sallie Boy says, “This is the first time this year that the Colts is the underdog and so far they is 4-2 against the spread. But even bigger than that – the Colts hasn’t lost to the Eagles since 1994.” Taking the Colts.
Kansas City at Oakland (-2.5)
Benny Bagels reports that “The Chiefs is 5-2 against the spread, 4-1 as dog.” Kansas City heads to the Bay Area this Sunday in a showdown for the lead in the AFC West. Though KC has won its last 7 trips to Oakland, this Raiders team may present a more formidable challenge. In the past two games, the Raiders have dominated their opponents, beating the Seahawks last week, 33-3, and trouncing the Broncos the week before, 59-14 in Denver. But they will have to stop the top rushing offense in the league this week, along with a potent Cassel to Bowe pitch-catch combo. Oakland’s defense has contained the run in the past two weeks, allowing fewer than 100 yards for each. The key question is – can they do it again? Taking the Raiders to cover at home.