Nate Silver

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Latest blogosphere posts tagged “Nate Silver”

• December 3rd SwiftHack Updates

  
  EnviroKnow — Authority: 595
  Below you’ll find the latest updates to our continually updated roundup of SwiftHack/ClimateGate news . Of particular interest, we’ve added new sections on Statements from Members of Congress and Statements from the Obama Administration . Statements from Members of Congress Rep. Jay Inslee (D- WA) : ...
  1 day ago

• The SwiftHack Scandal: What You Need to Know

  
  EnviroKnow — Authority: 595
  First of all, this story should never have been called ClimateGate. Given the similarities between this smear job and the Swift Boat attacks on Senator John Kerry, SwiftHack is a far more appropriate name. I’ve attempted to cover the major points of interest in this story. Consider this post a perpetual work in ...
  1 week ago

• The Morning Meme (Wednesday, November 25, 2009)

  
  AfterElton.com - Because visibility matters — Authority: 647
  Broadway Speaks is hosting "A Very Mary Christmas" to benefit The Ali Forney Center in providing services to homeless GLBT youth. Guests are Sandra Berhardt and RuPauls Drag Race winner...
  1 week ago

• Tuesday Night Links

  
  Gerry Canavan — Authority: 485
  * Sad: Republicans have successfully convinced their followers that climate change isn’t real. * Nate Silver: How Bad Could Obama Screw Up and Still Beat Sarah Palin? * Ezra Klein on fixing the filibuster and SCOTUSblog on fixing the Court . * Blueprints for nerds. Via Kottke. * New Jersey in the news! ...
  1 week ago

• 2010 Preview: Who Should be Worried?

  
  The New Ledger Features — Authority: 605
  [tweetmeme] About once a month, we take a break from our normal focus on the economy to talk about electoral politics with Brad Jackson, Senior Editor at The New Ledger and an experienced political strategist. What is the fallout from the health care fight going to do to midterm elections next year? Are moderate ...
  1 week ago

• Lessons from FiveThirtyEight: How One Wonky Guy Kept Me Up At Night

  
  Old Media, New Tricks — Authority: 105
  (Guest post by travel writer Sheila Scarborough .) Chicago-based Nate Silver, a baseball statistician and analyst with Baseball Prospectus , was ticked off about politics. As a data-driven guy who appreciated precision, the sloppy use of political polling information drove him crazy. From his perspective, there ...
  1 week ago

• Survey: Passing health reform improves Dems’ electoral chances

  
  Minnesota Independent: News. Politics. Media. — Authority: 660
  Rep. Walz discusses health care reform at Netroots Minnesota. Photo: Paul Schmelzer, MnIndy “If my vote sends me back to Mankato West to teach geography, so be it,” said Rep. Tim Walz Saturday of the House health care reform bill. “Not getting health care care reform passed is what will send me back.” ...
  1 week ago

• The Future of the Public Option

  
  Firedoglake — Authority: 748
  (photo by benleto) Nate Silver runs down the possibilities on the future of the public option. It would take me a long time to respond fully but I’ll address this part : What’s wrong with the progressive block strategy? For one thing, it’s not clear that the threat is credible. Technically speaking, the ...
  1 week ago

• Really Bad Trade Off Ideas for the Public Option

  
  Firedoglake — Authority: 748
  Nate Silver believes progressives should trade the public option away , but what he wants in return is far more useless and an even tougher political battle. And the public option, as currently constructed, would only enroll 3-4 million people, according to the CBO. It’s a relatively minor provision, and one ...
  1 week ago

• Catching Up

  
  Blake's Think Tank — Authority: 138
  I’ve been out of town for the better part of two days and I’m just now reading that Arkansas Sen. Mark Pryor clearly stated that he would vote for the cloture motion which would advance the bill to debate in the Senate. Good for him. Senator Blanche Lincoln still remains on the fence. (I loved this op-ed ...
  1 week ago

• Some Tuesday Links

  
  Gerry Canavan — Authority: 485
  Some Tuesday links. * I linked not long ago to a report that carbon emissions had dropped dramatically in part due to the weak economy, so here’s a countervailing report out today saying that the developing world is more than making up for it . * The richest nation in the history of the world: …in 2008, 17 ...
  2 weeks ago

• It’s Palin Book Day!

  
  Blake's Think Tank — Authority: 138
  God, I hate exclamation points. But I couldn’t help it today because Sarah Palin ’s book, “Going Rogue,” finally arrives in bookstores. No, I’m not excited, but lots of other people are, including Jason Tolbert of The Tolbert Report . By now, those of us that have been reading the Internet know that ...
  2 weeks ago

• Yeah, counselor, Thats just what I want to do. Pay a whole lot of money for college, go for two years and flunk out!

  
  Deep Thought — Authority: 124
  Many of you are aware by now that blogger Nate Silver discovered apparently phony survey results by the polling company Strategic Vision using statistical analysis. In particular he looked at a survey which was given to high school students in both Oklahoma and Arizona (which had ridiculous results, such as claiming ...
  2 weeks ago

• If I’m The F**king Man, Then You’re The F**king Man As Well, So You Can Shove That F**king Finger Up Your A**

  
  The League of Ordinary Gentlemen — Authority: 682
  I find increasingly that posts entitled Time From Dems To Panic? are driving me around the freaking bend. There is nothing wrong with analyzing how the public is responding to the various initiatives and messaging of each of the political parties, per se. But pace my post on politics and language , it drives me ...
  2 weeks ago

• Nate Silver pretends to forget how polling works

  
  RedState — Authority: 790
  The last time we checked in on Nate Silver , the top-flight baseball analyst turned bottom-feeding partisan shill (appropriate for a guy who started out in politics as a Daily Kos diarist) was launching a crusade against Strategic Vision so lacking in integrity or even basic mathematical sense that it left many of us ...
  3 weeks ago

• "I think we have to seriously consider whether there is some sort of a Bradley Effect in the polling on gay rights issues"

  
  Queerty — Authority: 708
  SOUNDBITES — "We had given Question 1 about a 70 percent chance of being defeated based on a combination of an analysis of the polling and a statistical model. I dont know how much time Im supposed to spend defending being on the wrong side of a 70:30 bet — we build in a hedge for a reason — but here comes a ...
  3 weeks ago

• Nate Silver On The Maine Gay Marriage Loss

  
  The New Civil Rights Movement — Authority: 132
  FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver, one of the most respected numbers guys around, like most of us thought Maine’s marriage law would not be repealed. It was. Before you sharpen your pen – or your sword – read his analysis . The key part is this: “We had given Question 1 about a 70 percent chance of being ...
  4 weeks ago

• Local Politics Ruled Elections

  
  Today With President Barack Obama — Authority: 152
  People have been reading too much into yesterdays elections . Today is political pundit Happy Day. Michael Steele says that it means republicans are transcendent. Ha! Thats a good one. Others say voters served a message on Obama. Dont think so. The only real loser was Sarah Palin, who inserted herself into the NY 23 ...
  4 weeks ago

• Election Roundup

  
  Gerry Canavan — Authority: 485
  I went to bed before NJ or NY-23 was called, so while Im slightly disappointed to see the Republican win in NJ after all ( Booker 13? ) Im very glad to see the extremists cost the GOP that century-old House seat in NY-23. Nate Silver goes race by race at FiveThirtyEight.com. Heres NJ: Obama approval was actually ...
  4 weeks ago

• 538s Nate Silver Gives Advantage to Gay Marriage Supporters in Maine

  
  Gay Marriage Watch — Authority: 445
  Question 1, Maines gay marriage referendum, remains a tight contest but gay marriage advocates are heading into the final lap with the advantage, one analyst concludes. Gay marriage has yet to win a popular vote but proponents hope Mainers will be the first to buck the trend. At least one analysis favors ...
  4 weeks ago

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