climategate

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Latest blogosphere posts tagged “climategate”

 

• Email 4423, April 2009, warmists struggle to explain what happened with the weather in 1997-1998: "if not instrumental, then maybe an abrupt climate change bogie man came out of the closet to cause 0.5 offset after that time - any ideas? "

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 4423 big divergence is during 97-98 ENSO - if it is some instrumental problem from the ocean, perhaps clues from this time interval could unravel why if not instrumental, then maybe an abrupt climate change bogie man came out of the closet to cause 0.5 offset after that time - any ideas? might be too early ...
  3 hours ago

• Email 4418, Feb 1997, maybe CO2 doesnt cause malaria: "I dug up the malaria data (Italy and The Netherlands) between 1820-1930 which do show evidence of this 20 year cycle, with exacerbations in 1821, 1839, 1860, 1879, 1902, 1920. "

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 4418 Did you hear that our joint proposal (with Pim Martens) is one of 1,500 now assessed by the EU? Does not look hopeful. However, maybe we can do some PR and raise the profile of the proposal a bit. What I have in mind is a letter to the Lancet relating weather and historic malaria fluctuations in Europe. ...
  5 hours ago

• Email 4417, Feb 2005, Warmist Peter Thorne to Phil Jones: "I dont think we should be scared of admitting that we just dont know, if indeed we just dont know (which I believe is a fair reflection of the state of the science)"

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 4417 I dont think we should be scared of admitting that we just dont know, if indeed we just dont know (which I believe is a fair reflection of the state of the science)...I do not believe that Fu et al. weightings is some panacea nor that the "cancellation" works on all space and timescales (the statement ...
  5 hours ago

• Email 4413, Oct 2009: Environmental plant physiologist writes to Briffa: "As time has progressed I have found myself more concerned with the whole scientific basis of dendroclimatolog"

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 4413 As an environmental plant physiologist, I have followed the long debate starting with Mann et al (1998) and through to Kaufman et al (2009). As time has progressed I have found myself more concerned with the whole scientific basis of dendroclimatology. In particular; 1) The appropriateness of the ...
  5 hours ago

• Email 4405, Mar. 2001: Phil Jones calls changes in ice caps/glaciers "our best piece of evidence"

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 4405 Thompson estimates that some of these ice caps/glaciers (which have ice layers in the Middle Ages) will disappear in the next 20 years. This is our best piece of evidence. I know we dont use them in many of the compilations, but if these areas had layers in the Middle Ages and are disappearing ...
  5 hours ago

• Email 4403, Jan. 2005, Keith Briffa: "the glacier evidence is problematic for interpreting precise and quantitative indications of the extent of regional or Hemispheric Warmth (and even cold) - issues of translating tongue position or volume into specifi

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 4403 the decision is to reduce the glacier evidence to a very much smaller piece , coached in the sense of how the glacier evidence is problematic for interpreting precise and quantitative indications of the extent of regional or Hemispheric Warmth (and even cold) - issues of translating tongue position or ...
  5 hours ago

• Email 4400, Feb 2006, Keith Briffa: "do not let Susan (or Mike) push you (us) beyond where we know is right."

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 4400 Peck, you have to consider that since the TAR , there has been a lot of argument re "hockey stick" and the real independence of the inputs to most subsequent analyses is minimal. True, there have been many different techniques used to aggregate and scale data - but the efficacy of these is still far from ...
  5 hours ago

• Email 1335, Nov 2005, Michael "Robust Debate" Mann on the prospect of attending a workshop also attended by a guy who disagrees with him: "If Zorita is in, I am out!

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 1335 cc: Phil Jones , Keith Briffa , Heinz Wanner date: Tue, 29 Nov 2005 10:26:33 -0500 from: "Michael E. Mann" subject: Re: Workshop: Participants/ 1. Circular to: Christoph Kull Christoph, Can I please have an explanation of what happened here???? You sent out a list yesterday of partipipants that we ...
  2 days ago

• Email 1336, Phil Jones, Mar 2006: "I can say for certain (100% - not any probable word that IPCC would use) is that the surface temperature data are correct."

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 1336 So starting in March 2006, no need to ever go back and adjust the pre-2006 instrumental data, correct?
  2 days ago

• Email 1317, Oct. 2000, on CRU: "Five lead authors for the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are drawn from the unit...The work of Jones and co-workers with [CRUs temperature] record can justifiably be claimed to have been central t

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 1317 The Climatic Research Unit undertakes pioneering research on the nature, predictability and impact of natural and anthropogenic climate change, maintaining a position as a world authority in the field. Five lead authors for the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are drawn from the ...
  2 days ago

• Email 1304, Dec 2002, warmist Tom Wigley on a critical climate hoax model: "SCENGEN is also owned by me. All of the conceptual and intellectual input has been mine"

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 1304 date: Wed, 18 Dec 2002 11:40:34 -0700 from: Tom Wigley subject: Re: MAGICC/SCENGEN to: Mike Hulme Mike, A quick reply -- SCENGEN is also owned by me. All of the conceptual and intellectual input has been mine. You and the people who have worked for you have really been little more than technicians or ...
  2 days ago

• Email 2530, June 2003, Phil Jones: "note that Ive changed the way we smooth the series to preserve the late 20th century trend, like we did in the Eos piece"

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 2530 Also, note that Ive changed the way we smooth the series to preserve the late 20th century trend, like we did in the Eos piece. Ive always estimated the uncertainties a bit more conservatively as described in text--so theyre a bit expanded now. None of the conclusions change, although the globe is ...
  2 days ago

• Email 1145, May 2005, Jonathan Overpeck to Briffa/Jansen: "Were hoping you guys can generate something compelling enough for the TS and SPM - something that will replace the hockey-stick with something even more compelling"

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 1145 Were hoping you guys can generate something compelling enough for the TS [Technical Summary] and SPM  [Summary for Policy Makers] - something that will replace the hockey-stick with something even more compelling.
  5 days ago

• Email 1057, June 2009, "Tom": "[Hansen] warms the trend in 42 percent of the urban stations indicating that nearly half have an urban cold bias"

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 1057 Jim Hansen adjusts his urban stations (based on night-lights) to nearby rural stations, but if I recall correctly (Ill send that paper shortly), he warms the trend in 42 percent of the urban stations indicating that nearly half have an urban cold bias.
  1 week ago

• Email 1046, Nov 2009, Phil Jones and Tom Wigley dont know what caused the early 20th century warming, but a "possible explanation" is changes in ocean circulation

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 2038 So, what caused the early 20th century warming? A possible explanation is that it is the result of a major increase in the rate of formation of NADW (Wigley and Raper, 1987), an idea that is supported by the pattern of warming which is a maximum in the North Atlantic (Schlesinger and Ramankutty, ...
  1 week ago

• Email 1710, April 2006, UEAs Tim Osborn: "Im not sure that we can tell Science that we do *not* want to issue a correction to our paper and at the same time tell McIntyre that he cannot make public the fact that we used CRUTEM2v rather than HadCRUT2 as

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 1710 date: Fri Apr 28 17:04:18 2006 from: Tim Osborn subject: Fwd: Re: Ruherford et al 2005 to: Keith Briffa And heres a separate email from McIntyre. Im not sure that we can tell Science that we do *not* want to issue a correction to our paper and at the same time tell McIntyre that he cannot make ...
  1 week ago

• Email 1706, March 2004: Phil Jones is unhappy about a paper that says "Since 1940, however, the Greenland coastal stations data have undergone predominantly a cooling trend"

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 1706 Since 1940, however, the Greenland coastal stations data have undergone predominantly a cooling trend. At the summit of the Greenland ice sheet the summer average temperature has decreased at the rate of 2.2 °C per decade since the beginning of the measurements in 1987.
  1 week ago

• Email 1705, April 2002, what "settled" science looks like: After Michael Mann writes "There are some substantial scientific differences here, lets let them play out the way they are supposed to, objectively, and in the peer reviewed literature", Raymond

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 1705 I hope we can resolve the scientific issues objectively, and w/out injecting or any personal feelings into any of this. There are some substantial scientific differences here, lets let them play out the way they are supposed to, objectively, and in the peer reviewed literature.  [Mann]
  1 week ago

• Regulatory Czar wants to use copyright protection mechanisms to shut down rumors and conspiracy theories

  
  Watts Up With That? — Authority: 694
  Guest Post by Alec Rawls As Congress considers vastly expanding the power of copyright holders to shut down fair use of their intellectual property, this is a good time to remember the other activities that Obama’s “regulatory czar” Cass Sunstein … Continue reading →
  1 week ago

• Email 2157, Oct 2004, Phil Jones channels Lord Monckton: "I just cannot accept that any model will ever be as good as reality..models still have a long way to go before they can be considered as alternatives to real observed data"

  
  Tom Nelson — Authority: 609
  Email 2157 If Im correct in my simplifying then all you need to do to reconstruct the past is to get a good model and a reconstruction of the past history of solar forcing and explosive volcanism (and some other things like land use). I may be taking your view to its extreme. I just cannot accept that any model ...
  1 week ago

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