overconfidence
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Welcome to the 'overconfidence' tag page at Technorati. This page features content from the farthest reaches of the Blogosphere that authors have "tagged" with 'overconfidence'.
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Latest blogosphere posts tagged “overconfidence”
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Beware Of Overconfidence
ACRLog —
Authority: 502
I hope you took some time to take a look at the latest ECAR report on undergraduates and their use of and attitudes about technology. In addition to Barbara’s post and some good discussion over at COLLIB-L, I commented (on the discussion list) that I had brought up some of the same issues in my ACRLog post ...1 week ago -
Hubris
voluntaryXchange —
Authority: 133
David Brooks : … The bonfire of overconfidence has shifted to Washington. Since the masters of finance have been exposed as idiots, the masters of government have concluded (somewhat illogically) that they must be really smart. … The issue is not whether government acts, but whether it acts with an ...2 weeks ago -
Unrealistic optimism about problem drinking is dangerous.
Blogs —
Authority: 160
An important part of everyones self-concept is a sense of how we compare to others in our behaviors. A common observation is that many people are overly optimistic in their judgments about themselves relative to others. For example, on average, people think they are more likely to be successful in business than ...4 weeks ago -
The psychology versus the economics of decision making: protecting your business from yourself
http://legalliteracy.com/blog —
Authority: 108
Economics tells us we should engage in rational decision making. We shouldn’t take irrational risks. Okay, then tell me why do so many successful, high-profile, and otherwise smart individuals take what appears to irrational risks that can turn their world upside down? Enron financial engineers, the Wall ...6 weeks ago -
Overconfidence is not always a good thing
The Streeb-Greebling Diaries —
Authority: 118
AGI can be achieved within ten years, according to Itamar Arel. Well this all sounds like very high level flim-flam, and the guy seems to be making some very confident assertions, such as "will possess much of what we associate with consciousness" . Ive heard statements like these innumerable times on AI related ...8 weeks ago