overconfidence

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Latest blogosphere posts tagged “overconfidence”

  • Beware Of Overconfidence


    ACRLogAuthority Authority: 502
    I hope you took some time to take a look at the latest ECAR report on undergraduates and their use of and attitudes about technology. In addition to Barbara’s post and some good discussion over at COLLIB-L, I commented (on the discussion list) that I had brought up some of the same issues in my ACRLog post ...
    1 week ago
  • Hubris


    voluntaryXchangeAuthority Authority: 133
    David Brooks : … The bonfire of overconfidence has shifted to Washington. Since the masters of finance have been exposed as idiots, the masters of government have concluded (somewhat illogically) that they must be really smart. … The issue is not whether government acts, but whether it acts with an ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Unrealistic optimism about problem drinking is dangerous.


    BlogsAuthority Authority: 160
    An important part of everyones self-concept is a sense of how we compare to others in our behaviors. A common observation is that many people are overly optimistic in their judgments about themselves relative to others. For example, on average, people think they are more likely to be successful in business than ...
    4 weeks ago
  • The psychology versus the economics of decision making: protecting your business from yourself


    http://legalliteracy.com/blogAuthority Authority: 108
    Economics tells us we should engage in rational decision making.  We shouldn’t take irrational risks.  Okay, then tell me why do so many successful, high-profile, and otherwise smart individuals take what appears to irrational risks that can turn their world upside down?   Enron financial engineers, the Wall ...
    6 weeks ago
  • Overconfidence is not always a good thing


    The Streeb-Greebling DiariesAuthority Authority: 118
    AGI can be achieved within ten years, according to Itamar Arel. Well this all sounds like very high level flim-flam, and the guy seems to be making some very confident assertions, such as "will possess much of what we associate with consciousness" . Ive heard statements like these innumerable times on AI related ...
    8 weeks ago

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